A member applied October 12 for a January 2023 intake and, with no PPR yet, asked whether to defer to the next available intake or keep waiting.
What another member's comparable real experience showed:- One member applied in a similarly backlogged period (late November for a January intake) and chose to wait it out rather than defer early. Their program's last deferral date was February 10; they held out until February 7 (just 3 days before the deadline) before finally deferring — and received their PPR in the third week of February anyway, shortly after.
- The consistent advice: wait as close to your program's last deferral date as possible, rather than deferring early out of anxiety. Deferring too soon gives up time your decision might still arrive within.
- Don't rush the decision — since your visa decision timeline is independent of your intake date, waiting doesn't hurt your application, and it preserves the option of avoiding a deferral altogether if your PPR arrives just in time.
The practical takeaway: if you're waiting on a PPR as your intake approaches, hold off on deferring until you're close to your program's actual last deferral deadline — real cases have received their PPR right around that deadline, so deferring too early can be an unnecessary step.